Lynbrook High School
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Westmont High School → Prospect High School → Cupertino High School → Monta Vista High School → Abraham Lincoln High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,616 | -24 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,568 | -72 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,522 | -118 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Santa Clara County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Lynbrook High School's enrollment is tracking Santa Clara County's baseline (-4.6% vs. -6.2%), and 96.8% stability is elite. The demographic tide is the headwind; you're holding your share.
55 of 1,731 students who enrolled at Lynbrook High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (3.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 3.3 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Fremont Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 85.2%
Federal: 3.2%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Fremont Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+54.0 pp above peer median (31.7%) · Ranked #1 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
31.7%
53.3%
85.7%
Higher than 98% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Lynbrook High School's UC Reach of 85.7% clears the statewide top-10% cutoff (53.3%) — meaning roughly 85 top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors, well above what most California schools achieve.
In Santa Clara County — a competitive market where the median is already 33.1% — this still clears the county top-10% bar (79.3%).
Against similar schools, Lynbrook High School stands out clearly — the peer-group median is 31.7%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 17 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Lynbrook High School's UC Reach is higher than 98% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Lynbrook High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Jose · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Lynbrook High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 11): 86% vs. a peer median of 32%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 36 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 5% (461→440 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1568 by 2029 — about 72 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 72 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynbrook High School | Public | 1640 | 85.7% | -5% |
| Peer-group median | 31.7% | +1% | ||
| Westmont High School | Public | 1631 | 28.7% | +12% |
| Prospect High School | Public | 1436 | 36.3% | -2% |
| Cupertino High School | Public | 1814 | 77.7% | -13% |
| Monta Vista High School | Public | 1588 | 85.5% | -31% |
| Abraham Lincoln High | Public | 1575 | 17.6% | -17% |
| Willow Glen High School | Public | 1537 | 30.3% | -8% |
| Fremont High | Public | 2015 | 24.1% | +4% |
| Los Gatos High School | Public | 1862 | 40.0% | +5% |
| Branham High School | Public | 1819 | 33.1% | +30% |
| Del Mar High School | Public | 1318 | 10.4% | +22% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.08 | 10.8% | 14.2% | -3.4pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.09 | 7.4% | 9.8% | -2.4pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 4.06 | 13.5% | 18.7% | -5.1pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.07 | 39.9% | 36.9% | +2.9pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 4.06 | 27.8% | 29.2% | -1.3pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 4.07 | 15.3% | 33.5% | -18.1pp | Under |
Where Lynbrook High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (19.0% actual vs. 23.7% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 314 | 34 | 25 | 10.8% | 8.1% | 73.5% | 4.08 | 4.25 |
| UCLA → Elite | 311 | 23 | 9 | 7.4% | 5.5% | 39.1% | 4.09 | 4.26 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 325 | 44 | 10 | 13.5% | 10.5% | 22.7% | 4.06 | 4.29 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 306 | 122 | 6 | 39.9% | 29.0% | 4.9% | 4.07 | 4.27 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 316 | 88 | 14 | 27.8% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 4.06 | 4.24 |
| UC Davis → | 320 | 49 | 7 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 4.07 | 4.21 |