Parlier High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Kingsburg High School → Fowler High School → Washington High → Orosi High School → Selma High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~954 | +7 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~968 | +21 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~982 | +35 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Fresno County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Parlier High School stay (88.2% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping faster than Fresno County (school -3.1% vs. county +6.7%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place.
110 of 934 students who enrolled at Parlier High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 11.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Parlier Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 8.8%
Federal: 20.9%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Parlier Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-10.2 pp vs. peer median (13.4%) · Ranked #8 of 8 similar schools
18.5%
13.4%
53.3%
3.2%
Higher than 1% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Parlier High School's UC Reach of 3.2% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Parlier High School's UC Reach is higher than 1% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Parlier High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Parlier · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Parlier High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 8): 3% vs. a peer median of 13%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 2 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 3% (191→185 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +10%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.7%/yr); projects to ~968 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parlier High School | Public | 947 | 3.2% | -3% |
| Peer-group median | 13.4% | +10% | ||
| Kingsburg High School | Public | 1109 | 13.4% | -2% |
| Fowler High School | Public | 796 | 25.6% | +8% |
| Washington High | Public | 1065 | — | +24% |
| Orosi High School | Public | 1125 | 18.1% | -4% |
| Selma High School | Public | 1700 | 12.5% | +2% |
| Reedley High School | Public | 1825 | 16.8% | +11% |
| Sanger West High School | Public | 1492 | 7.3% | +25% |
| Orange Cove High School | Public | 588 | 7.1% | -17% |
| Erma Duncan Polytechnical High | Public | 1189 | — | +29% |
| Kings Valley Academy Ii | Public | 874 | — | +223% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 3.86 | 50.0% | 32.1% | +17.9pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | — |
| UC Davis → | 12 | 6 | — | 50.0% | 3.2% | — | 3.86 | 4.19 |