North Monterey County High Sch
Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Pajaro Valley Hs → Rancho San Juan High School → Seaside High School → Aptos High School → Marina High → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,163 | -6 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,153 | -16 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,142 | -27 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Monterey County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
On the surface North Monterey County High Sch looks fine — enrollment is +13.5% vs. Monterey County +9.8%, and 87.4% of students stay through year-end. But <strong>chronic absenteeism is at 29.0%, up +9.6 pts since 2016-17 (county median 16.9%). Disengagement leads departure — families pull back from the day-to-day before they formally leave. The demand signal usually follows within 2–3 years.
167 of 1,322 students who enrolled at North Monterey County High Sch this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (12.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 9.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
North Monterey County High Sch sent 195 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 35.4% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 21.8% — 3.3 percentage points above the California median of 18.5%, higher than 58% of California high schools. The school produces 2.8 UCLA + UC Berkeley admits per 100 seniors.
-1.5 pp vs. peer median (23.3%) · Ranked #6 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
23.3%
53.3%
21.8%
Higher than 58% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
North Monterey County High Sch's UC Reach of 21.8% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 81 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, North Monterey County High Sch's UC Reach is higher than 58% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
North Monterey County High Sch — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Castroville · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, North Monterey County High Sch sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 11): 22% vs. a peer median of 23%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 7 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, North Monterey County High Sch is admitting at roughly +14 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.908) alone would predict (35% actual vs. 21% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 14% (244→277 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +5%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1153 by 2029 — about 16 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 16 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Monterey County High Sch | Public | 1169 | 21.8% | +14% |
| Peer-group median | 23.3% | +5% | ||
| Pajaro Valley Hs | Public | 1270 | 10.9% | -4% |
| Rancho San Juan High School | Public | 1559 | 29.0% | +31% |
| Seaside High School | Public | 981 | 4.3% | -11% |
| Aptos High School | Public | 1258 | 28.4% | -6% |
| Marina High | Public | 777 | 9.2% | +43% |
| Everett Alvarez High School | Public | 1826 | 18.9% | -11% |
| North Salinas High School | Public | 2046 | 11.6% | +15% |
| Monterey High School | Public | 1413 | 38.0% | +27% |
| Soquel High School | Public | 1055 | 27.7% | +7% |
| Santa Cruz High School | Public | 1060 | 45.2% | +2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA
Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.
| Campus | 4.00+ GPA | 3.70–3.99 GPA | 3.30–3.69 GPA | < 3.30 GPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UCLA | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UC San Diego | Strong shot | Moderate | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Santa Barbara | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Irvine | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Davis | Strong shot | Strong shot | Real shot | Filtered out |
The numbers behind it
| Campus | Applicant GPA | Admit GPA | Lift ⓘ | Admit rate | vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.90 | 4.30 | +0.40 | 17.2% | Peers +0.28 · steeper |
| UCLA (2019) | 3.93 | 4.32 | +0.40 | 18.5% | Peers +0.30 · steeper |
| UC San Diego | 3.94 | 4.22 | +0.28 | 50.0% | Peers +0.30 · matches |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.75 | 4.24 | +0.49 | 31.4% | Peers +0.37 · steeper |
| UC Irvine | 3.99 | 4.19 | +0.20 | 52.0% | Peers +0.22 · matches |
| UC Davis | 3.93 | 4.24 | +0.31 | 51.3% | Peers +0.24 · steeper |
📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)
| GPA band | UCB | UCLA | UCSD | UCSB | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00+ | 17.0% | 15.1% | 45.2% | 62.3% | 46.3% | 65.9% |
| 3.70–3.99 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| 3.30–3.69 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10.3% |
| 3.00–3.29 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| < 3.00 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
Where North Monterey County High Sch sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 14.0 points above what their GPAs predict (35.4% actual vs. 21.4% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 29 | 5 | — | 17.2% | 1.6% | — | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| UCLA → Elite | 35 | 4 | — | 11.4% | 1.3% | — | 3.96 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 32 | 16 | 6 | 50.0% | 5.1% | 37.5% | 3.94 | 4.22 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 35 | 11 | — | 31.4% | 3.5% | — | 3.75 | 4.24 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 25 | 13 | 3 | 52.0% | 4.1% | 23.1% | 3.99 | 4.19 |
| UC Davis → | 39 | 20 | — | 51.3% | 6.3% | — | 3.93 | 4.24 |