Mckinleyville High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Alder Grove Charter School 2 → Arcata High School → Northern United - Humboldt Charter → Eureka Senior High → Eureka Senior High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~576 | +2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~581 | +7 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~586 | +12 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Humboldt County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -4.3% vs. county +41.0% — losing far faster than the county. Each enrolled family matters more, but the engine of new enrollment is breaking down. Chronic absenteeism is also at 40.7% (up +20.3 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
77 of 599 students who enrolled at Mckinleyville High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (12.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 20.3 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Northern Humboldt Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 46.2%
Federal: 9.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Northern Humboldt Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-4.0 pp vs. peer median (6.5%) · Ranked #8 of 8 similar schools
18.5%
6.5%
53.3%
2.5%
Higher than 0% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Mckinleyville High School's UC Reach of 2.5% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Mckinleyville High School's UC Reach is higher than 0% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Mckinleyville High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Mckinleyville · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Mckinleyville High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 8): 2% vs. a peer median of 6%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 2 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 4% (141→135 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +15%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.4%/yr); projects to ~581 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mckinleyville High School | Public | 574 | 2.5% | -4% |
| Peer-group median | 6.5% | +15% | ||
| Alder Grove Charter School 2 | Public | 503 | — | -38% |
| Arcata High School | Public | 972 | 22.0% | +36% |
| Northern United - Humboldt Charter | Public | 349 | — | -6% |
| Eureka Senior High | Public | 1159 | 3.8% | +25% |
| Eureka Senior High School | Public | 1159 | 8.9% | -6% |
| Redwood Coast Montessori | Public | 205 | — | +150% |
| Fortuna Union High School | Public | 832 | 6.2% | +5% |
| Hoopa Valley High School | Public | 349 | 6.8% | +38% |
| Yreka High School | Public | 588 | 6.5% | +20% |
| Central Valley High | Public | 598 | 2.9% | +10% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 3.93 | 30.0% | 32.4% | -2.4pp | On target |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Davis → | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30.0% | 2.5% | 100.0% | 3.93 | — |