Magnolia Science Academy 4
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Most similar nearby schools
Catch Prep Charter High, Inc. → Horace Mann UCLA Community Sch → Phoenix Continuation → Animo Venice Charter Hs → Cheviot Hills Continuation → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-4.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~118 | -5 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~108 | -15 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~98 | -25 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Los Angeles County (+12.0% vs. -8.2%), but 21 of 112 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled? Chronic absenteeism is rising (28.5%, +18.1 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
21 of 112 students who enrolled at Magnolia Science Academy 4 this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (18.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 17.5 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Los Angeles Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 29.8%
Federal: 18.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Los Angeles Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Magnolia Science Academy 4 — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Los Angeles · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 12% (25→28 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -38%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-4.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~108 by 2029 — about 15 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 15 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnolia Science Academy 4 | Public | 123 | — | +12% |
| Peer-group median | 12.3% | -38% | ||
| Catch Prep Charter High, Inc. | Public | 122 | — | -39% |
| Horace Mann UCLA Community Sch | Public | 151 | 12.0% | -38% |
| Phoenix Continuation | Public | 61 | — | +0% |
| Animo Venice Charter Hs | Public | 265 | 26.4% | -50% |
| Cheviot Hills Continuation | Public | 48 | — | -38% |
| Wish Academy High School | Public | 283 | 12.7% | +19% |
| Joseph Pomeroy Widney Career Preparatory And Transition Center | Public | 272 | — | -20% |
| City Honors International Preparatory High | Public | 284 | — | -12% |
| Icef View Park Preparatory High | Public | 319 | 3.7% | -42% |
| Animo City Of Champions Charter High | Public | 306 | — | -50% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2023 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '23 | Avg GPA (Adm) '23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | — |