Mad River High (continuation)

· Humboldt County · Northern Humboldt Union High
Public Humboldt County 🏛 Northern Humboldt Union High → CDS 1262687…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Laurel Tree Charter School → Pacific Coast High (continuation) → Captain John Continuation High → Zoe Barnum High → Alps View High (continuation) → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Mad River High (continuation).

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
38 (2018)20 (2026)
-47.4%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
21 (2018)10 (2026)
-52.4%

If this trend holds (-7.7%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~18 -2 $0
3 yr (2029) ~16 -4 $0
5 yr (2031) ~13 -7 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Humboldt County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Critical
Compounding decline on both vectors.

Enrollment -52.4% vs. county +41.0% AND stability (7.8%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem. Chronic absenteeism is also at 56.8% (up -29.5 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.

-52.4%  school enrollment (2018–2026)
+41.0%  Humboldt County baseline
-93.4pp  gap vs. county
7.8%  retention (county median 88.7%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
7.8%
4 of 51 students

47 of 51 students who enrolled at Mad River High (continuation) this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (92.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Humboldt County median
88.7% · school is in the 0th percentile of 12 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 1st percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (42) 9.5%
White (27) 11.1%

Nearest peer high schools

Laurel Tree Charter School 76.7% Pacific Coast High (continuation) 9.4% Captain John Continuation High 34.9% Zoe Barnum High 49.0% Alps View High (continuation) 26.5%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
56.8%
21 of 37 students

Absenteeism is down 29.5 pp since 2016-17. Engagement improving — a positive trajectory worth understanding and reinforcing.

Humboldt County median
26.6% · school is worse than 91% of 11 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2024

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 28
10.7%
incl. 0.0% exceeded
-36.0 pts vs. Humboldt County median (46.7%) · CA median 52.4% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 78.4%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 27
7.4%
incl. 0.0% exceeded
-10.4 pts vs. Humboldt County median (17.8%) · CA median 18.5% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 52.1%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

White 40% +2.5
American Indian 25%
Hispanic / Latino 20% +7.5
Two or more 15%

Program subgroups

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — Northern Humboldt Union High (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$29.5M
+18.3% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$17,765
1,661 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 44.2%
Local: 46.2%
Federal: 9.5%
Instruction share
53.7%
of current spending · $8,916/pupil
Long-term debt
$29.4M
+36.5% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Northern Humboldt Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

Mad River High (continuation) — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • Senior-class enrollment is down 52% (21→10 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -27%.
  • At its recent rate (-7.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~16 by 2029 — about 4 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

20 students (2026)
~16 projected (2029)
at -7.7%/yr

That's about 4 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Mad River High (continuation) Public 20 -52%
Peer-group median -27%
Laurel Tree Charter School Public 23 +20%
Pacific Coast High (continuation) Public 24 -48%
Captain John Continuation High Public 22 -31%
Zoe Barnum High Public 49 -27%
Alps View High (continuation) Public 20 +200%
Phoenix Charter Academy Public 19
Six Rivers Charter School Public 107 +21%
Northcoast Preparatory And Performing Arts Academy Public 109 -29%
Leggett Valley High Public 13 +50%
Round Valley Continuation Public 12 -50%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

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