Homestead High School
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Fremont High → Los Altos High → Cupertino High School → Monta Vista High School → Lynbrook High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.4%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,159 | -31 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,099 | -91 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,041 | -149 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Santa Clara County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Homestead High School is shrinking (-0.7%) but Santa Clara County is shrinking faster (-6.2%), so Homestead High School is winning roughly 5.5 pp of relative market share. Combined with 95.7% stability (county median 90.2%), this reflects a school that families actively chose during a market contraction. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
99 of 2,281 students who enrolled at Homestead High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (4.3% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 6.1 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Fremont Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 85.2%
Federal: 3.2%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Fremont Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+11.1 pp above peer median (43.5%) · Ranked #4 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
43.5%
53.3%
54.6%
Higher than 91% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Homestead High School's UC Reach of 54.6% clears the statewide top-10% cutoff (53.3%) — meaning roughly 54 top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors, well above what most California schools achieve.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 48 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Homestead High School's UC Reach is higher than 91% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Homestead High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Cupertino · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Homestead High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 11): 55% vs. a peer median of 44%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 4 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Homestead High School is admitting at roughly -5 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (4.043) alone would predict (18% actual vs. 23% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (608→604 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Santa Clara County's senior population shrank 6% over the same window — Homestead High School only shrank 1%. So Homestead High School picked up about 6 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2099 by 2029 — about 91 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 91 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homestead High School | Public | 2190 | 54.6% | -1% |
| Peer-group median | 43.5% | +2% | ||
| Fremont High | Public | 2015 | 24.1% | +4% |
| Los Altos High | Public | 2203 | 54.3% | +4% |
| Cupertino High School | Public | 1814 | 77.7% | -13% |
| Monta Vista High School | Public | 1588 | 85.5% | -31% |
| Lynbrook High School | Public | 1640 | 85.7% | -5% |
| Independence High School | Public | 2229 | 17.0% | -24% |
| Menlo Atherton High School | Public | 2152 | 30.1% | -1% |
| Westmont High School | Public | 1631 | 28.7% | +12% |
| Los Gatos High School | Public | 1862 | 40.0% | +5% |
| Leigh High School | Public | 1894 | 47.1% | +18% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.07 | 8.9% | 13.9% | -5.0pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.07 | 8.1% | 9.7% | -1.6pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 4.03 | 16.8% | 19.2% | -2.4pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.03 | 32.5% | 34.2% | -1.8pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 4.04 | 21.8% | 28.2% | -6.4pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 4.01 | 19.8% | 33.0% | -13.2pp | Under |
Where Homestead High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.1 points below what their GPAs predict (18.1% actual vs. 23.2% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 293 | 26 | 19 | 8.9% | 4.3% | 73.1% | 4.07 | 4.26 |
| UCLA → Elite | 297 | 24 | 14 | 8.1% | 4.0% | 58.3% | 4.07 | 4.29 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 315 | 53 | 7 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 4.03 | 4.26 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 305 | 99 | 15 | 32.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 4.03 | 4.26 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 294 | 64 | 16 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 25.0% | 4.04 | 4.23 |
| UC Davis → | 318 | 63 | 12 | 19.8% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 4.01 | 4.22 |