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Pacific Academy → Escondido Adventist Academy → Army and Navy Academy → Cal Coast Academy → Waldorf School of San Diego Hs → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~154 | -3 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~149 | -8 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~144 | -13 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Financial profile — IRS Form 990, FY2023
From 13 years of Form 990 filings via ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer (free public IRS data). The school's tax filings show financial scale, fundraising health, and endowment trajectory — signals that drive board-level conversations about tuition pricing, financial-aid capacity, and capital projects.
Source: IRS Form 990 via ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer (EIN 330708902). Tuition-per-student is total program-service revenue divided by latest enrollment — a rough average that includes auxiliary revenue (athletics, food service, etc.); the actual published tuition can differ. Form 990 is filed annually under penalty of perjury, so the financial scale figures are authoritative.
+18.4 pp above peer median (12.0%) · Ranked #2 of 6 similar schools
18.5%
12.0%
53.3%
30.4%
Higher than 74% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Grauer School's UC Reach of 30.4% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 72 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Grauer School's UC Reach is higher than 74% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Grauer School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · secular · Encinitas · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Grauer School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 6): 30% vs. a peer median of 12%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 10 points since 2020 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Grauer School is admitting at roughly +5 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (4.128) alone would predict (31% actual vs. 26% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 15% (27→23 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of +0%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~149 by 2028 — about 8 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 8 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Default derived from this school's own IRS Form 990 (FY2023): program-service revenue ÷ enrollment, rounded to the nearest $1k — an authoritative average that includes auxiliary revenue (athletics, food service). Your published tuition may differ; adjust if needed. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grauer School | Private · secular | 157 | 30.4% | -15% |
| Peer-group median | 12.0% | +0% | ||
| Pacific Academy | Private · secular | 87 | — | +0% |
| Escondido Adventist Academy | Private · Other religious | 158 | 10.0% | -41% |
| Army and Navy Academy | Private · secular | 272 | 23.3% | -22% |
| Cal Coast Academy | Private · secular | 70 | — | +100% |
| Waldorf School of San Diego Hs | Private · secular | 247 | — | +19% |
| Horizon Prep | Private · Other religious | 309 | — | +100% |
| High Bluff Academy | Private · secular | 52 | 109.1% | -11% |
| Aquinas International Academy | Private · secular | 145 | 12.0% | -70% |
| Fusion Academy | Private | 48 | — | +0% |
| Cristo Rey San Diego High School | Private · Catholic | 196 | 6.4% | +24% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2024 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 4.13 | 17.6% | 9.6% | +8.0pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.10 | 35.3% | 36.6% | -1.3pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 4.19 | 27.3% | 26.8% | +0.5pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 4.12 | 50.0% | 33.3% | +16.7pp | Over |
Where Grauer School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.2 points above what their GPAs predict (30.9% actual vs. 25.7% expected), based on 2024 data.
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 9 | 4 | — | 44.4% | 17.4% | — | 4.13 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 9 | 3 | — | 33.3% | 13.0% | — | 4.13 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 4.32 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | — |
| UC Davis → | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 4.31 |