Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Grauer School → Horizon Prep → Calvin Christian High School → Calvary Murrieta Christian Sch → San Diego Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-2.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~155 | -3 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~148 | -10 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~142 | -16 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Escondido Adventist Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Escondido · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Escondido Adventist Academy sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 6): 10% vs. a peer median of 23%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 41% (17→10 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of +12%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~148 by 2028 — about 10 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 10 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by other religious private school typical — wide range: Jewish day $25k–35k, Lutheran/Christian $10k–18k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Escondido Adventist Academy | Private · Other religious | 158 | 10.0% | -41% |
| Peer-group median | 23.3% | +12% | ||
| Grauer School | Private · secular | 157 | 30.4% | -15% |
| Horizon Prep | Private · Other religious | 309 | — | +100% |
| Calvin Christian High School | Private · Other religious | 439 | — | +150% |
| Calvary Murrieta Christian Sch | Private · Other religious | 138 | — | -27% |
| San Diego Academy | Private · Other religious | 189 | — | -58% |
| Foothills Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 263 | 5.0% | +28% |
| Cambridge School | Private · Other religious | 390 | 51.9% | +238% |
| Pacific Academy | Private · secular | 87 | — | +0% |
| Cristo Rey San Diego High School | Private · Catholic | 196 | 6.4% | +24% |
| Army and Navy Academy | Private · secular | 272 | 23.3% | -22% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2021 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2024.
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA? Based on 2021 (latest GPA available).
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 3.88 | 50.0% | 25.7% | +24.3pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2021
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '21 | Avg GPA (Adm) '21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | — |
| UC Davis → | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |