Folsom High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Oak Ridge High School → Vista Del Lago High → Granite Bay High School → West Park High School → Bella Vista High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+2.6%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~3,067 | +79 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~3,231 | +243 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~3,404 | +416 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sacramento County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Folsom High School outperformed Sacramento County on enrollment (school +30.2% vs. county +3.0%) AND maintains 91.0% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
272 of 3,015 students who enrolled at Folsom High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.0% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Folsom-Cordova Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 40.2%
Federal: 7.9%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Folsom-Cordova Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-3.5 pp vs. peer median (21.1%) · Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
17.6%
Higher than 48% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Folsom High School's UC Reach of 17.6% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 85 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Folsom High School's UC Reach is higher than 48% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Folsom High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Folsom · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Folsom High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 18% vs. a peer median of 21%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 5 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Folsom High School is admitting at roughly -8 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.844) alone would predict (14% actual vs. 21% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 30% (563→733 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +11%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+2.6%/yr); projects to ~3231 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folsom High School | Public | 2988 | 17.6% | +30% |
| Peer-group median | 21.1% | +11% | ||
| Oak Ridge High School | Public | 2352 | 31.5% | +3% |
| Vista Del Lago High | Public | 1861 | 41.3% | +11% |
| Granite Bay High School | Public | 2064 | 39.1% | -2% |
| West Park High School | Public | 2386 | 21.1% | +93% |
| Bella Vista High School | Public | 1909 | 14.3% | +2% |
| Cordova High School | Public | 2043 | 7.8% | +11% |
| John Adams Academy - El Dorado Hills | Public | 1594 | — | +104% |
| Woodcreek High School | Public | 1969 | 13.4% | -8% |
| Rio Americano High School | Public | 1930 | 22.8% | +25% |
| Grant Union High | Public | 2124 | 15.7% | +20% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.88 | 5.6% | 11.6% | -6.1pp | Under |
| UCLA | 3.88 | 5.4% | 9.0% | -3.6pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.85 | 13.5% | 23.5% | -9.9pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.82 | 19.0% | 26.8% | -7.8pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 3.83 | 11.7% | 20.7% | -9.0pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.81 | 24.3% | 32.0% | -7.7pp | Under |
Where Folsom High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 7.5 points below what their GPAs predict (13.7% actual vs. 21.1% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 144 | 8 | 6 | 5.6% | 1.1% | 75.0% | 3.88 | 4.24 |
| UCLA → Elite | 149 | 8 | 4 | 5.4% | 1.1% | 50.0% | 3.88 | 4.18 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 170 | 23 | 8 | 13.5% | 3.1% | 34.8% | 3.85 | 4.20 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 137 | 26 | 5 | 19.0% | 3.5% | 19.2% | 3.82 | 4.16 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 162 | 19 | 5 | 11.7% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 3.83 | 4.12 |
| UC Davis → | 189 | 46 | 24 | 24.3% | 6.2% | 52.2% | 3.81 | 4.15 |