Etiwanda High School
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Rancho Cucamonga High School → Los Osos High School → Summit High School → Chaffey High School → Fontana High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~3,434 | -16 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~3,401 | -49 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~3,369 | -81 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the San Bernardino County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Families who enroll at Etiwanda High School stay (90.6% stability — elite). But enrollment is dropping faster than San Bernardino County (school -3.9% vs. county +0.0%). The audit question isn't why students leave — it's why fewer families are choosing to enroll in the first place.
343 of 3,632 students who enrolled at Etiwanda High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (9.4% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 14.0 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Chaffey Joint Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 30.3%
Federal: 8.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Chaffey Joint Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
+1.1 pp above peer median (14.3%) · Ranked #5 of 11 similar schools
18.5%
14.3%
53.3%
15.4%
Higher than 42% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Etiwanda High School's UC Reach of 15.4% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
In San Bernardino County, where the local median is just 12.6%, this score is unusually strong for its immediate market.
Overall, Etiwanda High School's UC Reach is higher than 42% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Etiwanda High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Etiwanda · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Etiwanda High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 11): 15% vs. a peer median of 14%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 4% (889→854 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~3401 by 2029 — about 49 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 49 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etiwanda High School | Public | 3450 | 15.4% | -4% |
| Peer-group median | 14.3% | -1% | ||
| Rancho Cucamonga High School | Public | 3249 | 22.0% | +1% |
| Los Osos High School | Public | 2735 | 27.4% | -18% |
| Summit High School | Public | 2703 | 14.5% | +12% |
| Chaffey High School | Public | 3052 | 10.0% | -4% |
| Fontana High School | Public | 2452 | 14.1% | -5% |
| Alta Loma High School | Public | 2464 | 10.7% | +8% |
| Upland High School | Public | 2782 | 18.7% | -9% |
| Rialto High School | Public | 2596 | 10.5% | -1% |
| Arroyo Valley High School | Public | 2589 | 12.5% | +1% |
| Cajon High School | Public | 2791 | 17.9% | -2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.87 | 10.4% | 11.6% | -1.2pp | On target |
| UCLA | 3.85 | 6.9% | 8.9% | -2.1pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.81 | 23.5% | 24.7% | -1.2pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.83 | 43.3% | 27.0% | +16.4pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.77 | 35.0% | 19.2% | +15.9pp | Over |
| UC Davis | 3.78 | 24.1% | 32.0% | -7.9pp | Under |
Where Etiwanda High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.5% actual vs. 19.5% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 67 | 7 | 5 | 10.4% | 0.8% | 71.4% | 3.87 | 4.18 |
| UCLA → Elite | 116 | 8 | 6 | 6.9% | 0.9% | 75.0% | 3.85 | 4.28 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 119 | 28 | 8 | 23.5% | 3.3% | 28.6% | 3.81 | 4.22 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 60 | 26 | 7 | 43.3% | 3.1% | 26.9% | 3.83 | 4.12 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 137 | 48 | 21 | 35.0% | 5.6% | 43.8% | 3.77 | 4.08 |
| UC Davis → | 58 | 14 | — | 24.1% | 1.6% | — | 3.78 | 4.16 |