Ernest S Mcbride Sr High Schl

• ▸On UC Reach, Ernest S Mcbride Sr High Schl sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 8): 51% vs. a peer median of 21%.
• ▸Its UC Reach has risen 27 points since 2018.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Ernest S Mcbride Sr High Schl is admitting at roughly +10 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (4.09) alone would predict (33% actual vs. 22% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (165→164 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +9%.
• ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 8% over the same window — Ernest S Mcbride Sr High Schl only shrank 1%. So Ernest S Mcbride Sr High Schl picked up about 8 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
• ▸At its recent rate (-1.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~626 by 2029 — about 23 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Test Prep Gurus Intelligence by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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