Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
River Montessori Elementary Charter → Petaluma Accelerated Charter → Dunham Charter → Live Oak Charter → Tomales High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Cinnabar Charter.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-5.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~142 | -9 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~126 | -25 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~112 | -39 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sonoma County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
19 of 167 students who enrolled at Cinnabar Charter this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.4% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 12.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Cinnabar Charter — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸At its recent rate (-5.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~126 by 2029 — about 25 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 25 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinnabar Charter | Public | 151 | — | — |
| Peer-group median | 12.2% | +28% | ||
| River Montessori Elementary Charter | Public | 141 | — | — |
| Petaluma Accelerated Charter | Public | 113 | — | — |
| Dunham Charter | Public | 167 | — | — |
| Live Oak Charter | Public | 271 | — | — |
| Tomales High School | Public | 134 | 12.2% | +28% |
| Old Adobe Elementary Charter | Public | 268 | — | — |
| Miwok Valley Elementary Charter | Public | 274 | — | — |
| Kid Street Charter | Public | 122 | — | — |
| Salmon Creek School - A Charter | Public | 139 | — | — |
| Santa Rosa Accelerated Charter | Public | 128 | — | — |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →