Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Turlock Christian Jr-Sr School → Monterey Bay Academy → San Fernando Valley Academy → Newbury Park Adventist Acad → Mount Madonna School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~140 | -2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~136 | -6 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~132 | -10 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Central Valley Christian Hs — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Visalia · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 25% (16→12 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of -17%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~136 by 2028 — about 6 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 6 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by other religious private school typical — wide range: Jewish day $25k–35k, Lutheran/Christian $10k–18k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Valley Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 142 | — | -25% |
| Peer-group median | 19.6% | -17% | ||
| Turlock Christian Jr-Sr School | Private · Other religious | 151 | 10.0% | -53% |
| Monterey Bay Academy | Private · Other religious | 155 | 5.8% | -10% |
| San Fernando Valley Academy | Private · Other religious | 123 | — | +75% |
| Newbury Park Adventist Acad | Private · Other religious | 92 | — | +7% |
| Mount Madonna School | Private · secular | 136 | — | -67% |
| Modesto Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 227 | — | -46% |
| Apostles Lutheran School | Private · Other religious | 228 | — | +36% |
| Georgiana Bruce Kirby Prep Sch | Private · secular | 130 | 29.2% | -56% |
| York School | Private · secular | 166 | 41.2% | -24% |
| Stone Ridge Christian High Sch | Private · Other religious | 264 | — | +24% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
GPA figures reflect 2024 — UC has not yet released applicant/admit GPA for 2025.
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) '24 | Avg GPA (Adm) '24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego → Selective | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |