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Mercy High School → Notre Dame High School → Castilleja School → San Francisco Waldorf Hs → Drew School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-0.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~347 | +0 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~346 | -1 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~346 | -1 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
+4.4 pp above peer median (45.1%) · Ranked #6 of 11 similar schools
18.6%
45.1%
53.4%
49.5%
Higher than 88% of California high schools (1142 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Crystal Springs Uplands Sch's UC Reach of 49.5% is in the top quartile statewide (median 18.6%; top 25% bar 34.2%) — but it's still below the top-10% bar of 53.4%.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 95.1% — a gap of 46 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Crystal Springs Uplands Sch's UC Reach is higher than 88% of California high schools (1142 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Crystal Springs Uplands Sch — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · secular · Hillsborough · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Crystal Springs Uplands Sch sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 11): 50% vs. a peer median of 45%.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Crystal Springs Uplands Sch is admitting at roughly -5 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (4.091) alone would predict (18% actual vs. 23% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 11% (72→80 from 2020 to 2025), outpacing the peer-group median of -2%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~346 by 2028 — about 1 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 1 fewer students. At a tuition of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual tuition revenue at risk.
Estimate seeded by nonsectarian private school typical — CA independent day schools typical $25k–55k. NCES doesn't publish per-school tuition; adjust to your school's actual figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Springs Uplands Sch | Private · secular | 347 | 49.5% | +11% |
| Peer-group median | 45.1% | -2% | ||
| Mercy High School | Private · Catholic | 354 | 24.7% | -19% |
| Notre Dame High School | Private · Catholic | 356 | 69.0% | -34% |
| Castilleja School | Private · secular | 416 | 113.7% | -15% |
| San Francisco Waldorf Hs | Private · secular | 320 | 7.5% | +14% |
| Drew School | Private · secular | 302 | 20.0% | +8% |
| Basis Independent Fremont Upper Sch | Private · secular | 350 | 212.5% | +23% |
| Urban School of San Francisco | Private · secular | 420 | 37.4% | -15% |
| Eastside College Prep School | Private · secular | 251 | 26.3% | -5% |
| Bay School of San Francisco | Private · secular | 410 | 52.9% | +28% |
| College Preparatory School | Private · secular | 373 | 76.9% | +1% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 4.09 | 20.0% | 16.6% | +3.4pp | On target |
| UCLA | 4.11 | 12.3% | 9.6% | +2.7pp | On target |
| UC Santa Barbara | 4.06 | 25.9% | 34.5% | -8.6pp | Under |
| UC Irvine | 4.08 | 11.9% | 25.1% | -13.2pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 4.11 | 20.0% | 33.1% | -13.1pp | Under |
Where Crystal Springs Uplands Sch sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.2 points below what their GPAs predict (18.2% actual vs. 23.4% expected).
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 55 | 11 | 3 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 27.3% | 4.09 | 4.27 |
| UCLA → Elite | 57 | 7 | 4 | 12.3% | 7.4% | 57.1% | 4.11 | 4.31 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 54 | 14 | — | 25.9% | 14.7% | — | 4.06 | 4.30 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 42 | 5 | — | 11.9% | 5.3% | — | 4.08 | 4.16 |
| UC Davis → | 50 | 10 | — | 20.0% | 10.5% | — | 4.11 | 4.22 |