Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Ripon Christian High School → Central Catholic High School → Saint Marys High School → Monte Vista Christian Hs → Modesto Christian Hs → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+1.0%/yr, Total enrollment)
At tuition of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Tuition impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2026) | ~770 | +8 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2028) | ~785 | +23 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2030) | ~801 | +39 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Edit the figure to match your school.
-25.2 pp vs. peer median (37.2%) · Ranked #8 of 8 similar schools
18.6%
37.2%
53.4%
12.0%
Higher than 26% of California high schools (1142 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Big Valley Christian Hs's UC Reach of 12.0% is below the California median (18.6%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.4% or higher.
Against similar schools, Big Valley Christian Hs trails the peer-group median (37.2%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.
Overall, Big Valley Christian Hs's UC Reach is higher than 26% of California high schools (1142 ranked).
Private-school figures come from the California Private School Affidavit. Per CDE, inclusion in private-school data is not an evaluation, approval, or endorsement of a school.
Big Valley Christian Hs — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Private · Other religious · Modesto · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Big Valley Christian Hs sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 8): 12% vs. a peer median of 37%.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 19% (53→43 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of -7%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+1.0%/yr); projects to ~785 by 2028.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Valley Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 762 | 12.0% | -19% |
| Peer-group median | 37.2% | -7% | ||
| Ripon Christian High School | Private · Other religious | 906 | — | +36% |
| Central Catholic High School | Private · Catholic | 422 | 14.4% | +22% |
| Saint Marys High School | Private | 845 | 36.9% | +12% |
| Monte Vista Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 836 | 25.4% | -34% |
| Modesto Christian Hs | Private · Other religious | 227 | — | -46% |
| Basis Independent Silicon Vall | Private | 819 | — | +14% |
| Moreau Catholic High School | Private · Catholic | 806 | 43.9% | -18% |
| Carondelet High School | Private · Catholic | 840 | 55.1% | +4% |
| Jesuit High School | Private · Catholic | 917 | 37.2% | -23% |
| California Crosspoint High School | Private · Other religious | 536 | 83.3% | -36% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type, and religious orientation. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 4.19 | 66.7% | 35.3% | +31.3pp | Over |
Campus Breakdown — 2024
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UCLA → Elite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | — |
| UC Davis → | 9 | 6 | — | 66.7% | 12.0% | — | 4.19 | 4.21 |