Assurance Learning Academy
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Most similar nearby schools
Lancaster High School → Eastside High School → Highland High → Quartz Hill High School → Palmdale Aerospace Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+1.0%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~2,872 | +29 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~2,931 | +88 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,992 | +149 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Tracking Los Angeles County on enrollment (-8.2% vs. -8.2%), but stability (46.6%) is below the county median. Retention is the levered fix. Chronic absenteeism is also at 63.9% (up +3.9 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
2,650 of 4,963 students who enrolled at Assurance Learning Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (53.4% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 3.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Acton-Agua Dulce Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 42.0%
Federal: 9.0%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Acton-Agua Dulce Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Assurance Learning Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Lancaster · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 8% (304→279 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +0%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+1.0%/yr); projects to ~2931 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assurance Learning Academy | Public | 2843 | — | -8% |
| Peer-group median | 10.2% | +0% | ||
| Lancaster High School | Public | 2871 | 7.5% | +26% |
| Eastside High School | Public | 2616 | 8.6% | +21% |
| Highland High | Public | 2725 | 9.8% | -4% |
| Quartz Hill High School | Public | 3032 | 16.2% | -0% |
| Palmdale Aerospace Academy | Public | 2303 | 21.5% | +30% |
| Palmdale High School | Public | 2106 | 10.4% | -13% |
| William J Pete Knight High Sch | Public | 2325 | 15.1% | -14% |
| Antelope Valley High School | Public | 1378 | 10.6% | -12% |
| Littlerock High School | Public | 1556 | 7.8% | +8% |
| Palmdale Academy Charter | Public | 1075 | 10.0% | +1% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
UC Outcomes Trend — 2020–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | — |