Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)
525 (2018)539 (2026)
+2.7%
Grade 12 (graduating class)
97 (2019)76 (2026)
-21.6%

If this trend holds (+0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~541 +2 $0
3 yr (2029) ~544 +5 $0
5 yr (2031) ~548 +9 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Los Angeles County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Critical
Material decline in demand.

Enrollment -21.6% vs. county -8.1% — losing 2.7× the county rate. Each enrolled family matters more, but the engine of new enrollment is breaking down.

-21.6%  school enrollment (2019–2026)
-8.1%  Los Angeles County baseline
-13.5pp  gap vs. county
88.5%  retention (county median 87.3%)
Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2019
Stability rate by year (raw %)
Stability rate
88.5%
285 of 322 students

37 of 322 students who enrolled at Aspire Pacific Academy this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Los Angeles County median
87.3% · school is in the 56th percentile of 387 HS
Statewide median
87.2% · in the 57th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (604) 90.2%
Hispanic / Latino (555) 89.7%
Students w/ disabilities (111) 91.0%
English learners (103) 89.3%

Nearest peer high schools

Aspire Ollin University Preparatory Academy 93.6% Animo Ralph Bunche Charter Hs 88.5% Linda Esperanza Marquez High C School Of Social Justice 82.2% Linda Esperanza Marquez High B Libra Academy 93.7% Alliance Margaret M. Bloomfield Technology Academy High 86.8%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent
18.8%
58 of 309 students

Absenteeism is up 6.7 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Los Angeles County median
25.2% · school is better than 69% of 381 HS
Statewide median
22.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded
n = 80
62.5%
incl. 21.2% exceeded
+4.5 pts above Los Angeles County median (58.0%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%
Math — met or exceeded
n = 80
12.5%
incl. 6.2% exceeded
-12.5 pts vs. Los Angeles County median (25.0%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

Hispanic / Latino 90% -4.5
Not reported 10% +4.5

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 94% -2.0
Socioeconomically disadv. 14% -1.7
English learners 13% +7.6

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

District financial profile — Los Angeles Unified (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$11112.5M
+8.9% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$24,124
460,633 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 51.7%
Local: 29.8%
Federal: 18.5%
Instruction share
53.5%
of current spending · $10,061/pupil
Long-term debt
$11908.4M
+4.3% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Los Angeles Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025
UC Reach
22%
15 admits / 67 seniors
-2.0 pp vs. peer median (24.4%) · Ranked #3 of 5 similar schools
5-year trend
2021 · 11.9% 2025 · 22.4%
Where this sits on the California curve
CA median
18.5%
Peer median
24.4%
Top 10%
53.3%
This school
22.4%
0%50%100%
CA median 18.5% Top 10% ≥ 53.3% This school 22.4%

Higher than 60% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Aspire Pacific Academy's UC Reach of 22.4% is above the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.

For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 102.7% — a gap of 80 pp from where this school sits.

Overall, Aspire Pacific Academy's UC Reach is higher than 60% of California high schools (1105 ranked).

UC Application Reach
111.9%
75 applications
Most seniors are applying to at least one of the six most selective UCs (applications counted at each campus).
In context: CA median 78.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 245.8% · Los Angeles Co. Top 10% ≥ 252.7% · higher than 65% of CA HS.
UC Admit Rate
20.0%
15 / 75 applications
In context: CA median 26.0% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 16% of CA HS.
UC Yield Rate
N/A
None enrolled of 15 admitted
Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.
UC Enrollment Reach
N/A
None enrollees / 67 seniors
Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.
A-G Completion
94%
65 of 69 graduates · 2024-25 cohort
In context: CA median 55.9% · +38.3 pp above · Los Angeles Co. 68.2%.
UC 6-Yr Grad Rate
54%
50% finished in 4 yrs · N=22 entered 2016
In context: CA median 87.8% · -33.2 pp vs. median.
Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD)
22.4
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 15.7 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 42.4 · higher than 67% of CA HS.
Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA)
4.5
per 100 seniors · campus-level total
In context: CA median 3.5 · Top 10% statewide ≥ 11.1 · higher than 59% of CA HS.
Senior Class Size
67
CDE grade 12 (exact)
Total School Enrollment
562
All grades · CDE Census Day

Aspire Pacific Academy — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Huntington Park · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • On UC Reach, Aspire Pacific Academy sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 5): 22% vs. a peer median of 24%.
  • Its UC Reach has risen 6 points since 2020.
  • Across the top-6 UC campuses, Aspire Pacific Academy is admitting at roughly +5 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.823) alone would predict (25% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
  • Senior-class enrollment is down 22% (97→76 from 2019 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
  • Enrollment has been growing (+0.3%/yr); projects to ~544 by 2029.

Enrollment projection

539 students (2026)
~544 projected (2029)
at +0.3%/yr

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Aspire Pacific Academy Public 539 22.4% -22%
Peer-group median 24.4% +2%
Aspire Ollin University Preparatory Academy Public 588 -44%
Animo Ralph Bunche Charter Hs Public 517 20.7% -3%
Linda Esperanza Marquez High C School Of Social Justice Public 489 -6%
Linda Esperanza Marquez High B Libra Academy Public 614 +6%
Alliance Margaret M. Bloomfield Technology Academy High Public 590 +20%
Synergy Quantum Academy Public 567 39.3% +44%
Diego Rivera Learning Complex Green Design Steam Academy Public 494 +9%
Nava College Prep Academy Public 585 28.2% -26%
Math, Science, & Technology Magnet Academy At Roosevelt High Public 527 +31%
Thomas Jefferson High School Public 490 15.9% -2%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs
3.85
Avg. Admitted GPA · top-6 UCs
4.15

Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus

How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?

Campus Applicant GPA (avg) Actual admit rate CA peer avg Δ Verdict
UCLA 3.89 16.7% 9.0% +7.7pp Over
UC San Diego 3.77 50.0% 25.8% +24.2pp Over
UC Santa Barbara 3.74 33.3% 26.5% +6.9pp Over
UC Irvine 3.84 14.3% 21.0% -6.7pp Under
"Applicant GPA" is the average GPA of this school's UC applicant pool — not an individual student GPA. "CA peer avg" is the application-weighted statewide admit rate at this school-pool GPA, fit separately per campus. At any given pool GPA, real admit rates span widely (UCSD ranges 8% → 65% across CA schools) because UCs use comprehensive review — context-of-opportunity, geography, demographics, and applicant essays all weigh in beyond GPA. A large negative residual flags this school is admitted at a meaningfully lower rate than other CA schools at the same pool GPA — not that students here were "rejected at expected rate X." "Over" / "Under" use a ±5-point band. Campuses with fewer than 5 applicants are omitted.

Where Aspire Pacific Academy sits vs. all California schools

Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 5.3 points above what their GPAs predict (24.6% actual vs. 19.3% expected).

UC Outcomes Trend — 2019–2025

UC Admit Rate %
UC Reach % (where available)
UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus Applicants Admits Enrollees Admit Rate UC Reach Yield Avg GPA (App) Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite 8 4.10
UCLA → Elite 18 3 16.7% 4.5% 3.89
UC San Diego → Selective 10 5 50.0% 7.5% 3.77 4.15
UC Santa Barbara → Selective 12 4 33.3% 6.0% 3.74
UC Irvine → Selective 21 3 14.3% 4.5% 3.84
UC Davis → 6 3.80
⚠ Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once. Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A large share of the senior class applies to UC, indicating strong college-going culture and UC pipeline development.
A large share of the class applies to UC, so the admit rate runs lower than the application volume alone might suggest — expected when many students apply broadly, including to reach campuses. UC Reach (which credits every admit relative to the class) is the truer read of how the class fares: a strong Reach alongside a moderate admit rate is healthy, not a contradiction.
Berkeley/UCLA admit volume is modest relative to overall UC reach. This is common and reflects the highly selective nature of those campuses, but may be a target area for the school's highest-performing students.
UC Reach has declined meaningfully year-over-year. This should be reviewed in context of applicant volume, GPA trends, course rigor changes, and peer-school performance before drawing conclusions.
Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.
Compare with other schools → See Los Angeles County rankings →

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