Analy High School
📄 Shareable scorecard →Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Piner High School → Santa Rosa High School → Roseland Charter → Montgomery High → Rancho Cotate High School → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+2.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,467 | +40 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,550 | +123 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,638 | +211 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sonoma County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Analy High School outperformed Sonoma County on enrollment (school +25.6% vs. county -0.1%) AND maintains 94.1% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working. Chronic absenteeism is rising (24.7%, +16.9 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
89 of 1,510 students who enrolled at Analy High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (5.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 16.9 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — West Sonoma County Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 70.3%
Federal: 6.1%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the West Sonoma County Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
On the peer median (12.3%) · Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
18.5%
12.3%
53.3%
11.8%
Higher than 27% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Analy High School's UC Reach of 11.8% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
Overall, Analy High School's UC Reach is higher than 27% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Analy High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Sebastopol · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Analy High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 12% vs. a peer median of 12%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 3 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 26% (277→348 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +5%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+2.8%/yr); projects to ~1550 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analy High School | Public | 1427 | 11.8% | +26% |
| Peer-group median | 12.3% | +5% | ||
| Piner High School | Public | 1538 | 7.8% | +14% |
| Santa Rosa High School | Public | 1443 | 8.1% | -22% |
| Roseland Charter | Public | 1181 | — | +14% |
| Montgomery High | Public | 1220 | 12.3% | -20% |
| Rancho Cotate High School | Public | 1679 | 7.8% | +13% |
| Maria Carrillo High School | Public | 1582 | 28.5% | +6% |
| Windsor High School | Public | 1753 | 18.3% | +4% |
| Elsie Allen High School | Public | 930 | 5.2% | -15% |
| Casa Grande High School | Public | 1600 | 16.5% | +14% |
| Petaluma High School | Public | 1173 | 21.6% | -14% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 3.92 | 9.4% | 9.0% | +0.4pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.94 | 13.9% | 21.3% | -7.4pp | Under |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.91 | 29.3% | 28.8% | +0.5pp | On target |
| UC Irvine | 3.94 | 16.7% | 24.2% | -7.6pp | Under |
| UC Davis | 3.95 | 41.5% | 32.5% | +8.9pp | Over |
Where Analy High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (23.6% actual vs. 23.9% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 32 | 3 | — | 9.4% | 0.9% | — | 3.92 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 36 | 5 | — | 13.9% | 1.4% | — | 3.94 | 4.15 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 41 | 12 | 5 | 29.3% | 3.5% | 41.7% | 3.91 | 4.24 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 24 | 4 | — | 16.7% | 1.2% | — | 3.94 | — |
| UC Davis → | 41 | 17 | 3 | 41.5% | 4.9% | 17.6% | 3.95 | 4.15 |