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The Carmel School

Ruther Glen · VA · Religious-affiliated · K-12 combined

Private
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📋 At a glance

Programs & features
  • Program details not reported to CRDC
Academic signals
  • Academic signals not yet ingested for this school

Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.

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How The Carmel School compares for families

What families should know about The Carmel School.

  • LocallyVA sits right at the US average on NAEP 8th-grade math — local school quality will set your kid apart.
  • vs Similar SchoolsThe closest comparables nearby: Caroline High, Patrick Henry High, Piedmont Christian School and 5 more. See the sidebar to compare side-by-side.

For Parents

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Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment went from 145 in 2018 to 219 in 2022 — over 4 years.
+51.0%
Why only 3 data points?

Private school enrollment comes from the NCES Private School Universe Survey (PSS), which is collected every other year — not annually like public-school data. The most recent published collection is 2021–22; NCES targeted spring 2026 for the 2023–24 release — we'll load it as soon as it's published.

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +10.9%/year, projecting from 2022's 219 students:

2023
243
2025
298
2027
367

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At tuition per student, the 148 students projected to be gained by 2027 represent ≈ $2,368,000/year in tuition upside.

Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Caroline High
Milford
Public 6.7 1,315 +8.0%
Patrick Henry High
Ashland
Public 10.0 1,294 -4.1%
Piedmont Christian School
Bumpass
Private 15.5 70
Hanover High
Mechanicsville
Public 17.5 1,349 -7.9%
Massaponax High
Fredericksburg
Public 17.7 1,692 -0.6%
Glen Allen High
Glen Allen
Public 18.1 1,939 -5.1%
Deep Run High
Glen Allen
Public 18.3 1,992 -1.7%
Spotsylvania High
Spotsylvania
Public 18.3 1,383 +6.1%

For Parents

Researching colleges for your kid at The Carmel School?

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