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Lutheran High North

Private Other religious
Houston, TX

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment went from 144 in 2018 to 102 in 2022 — over 4 years.
-29.2%

Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -8.3%/year, projecting from 2022's 102 students:

2023
94
2025
79
2027
66

≈ 36 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At tuition per student, the 36 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $576,000/year in tuition at risk.

Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
WALTRIP H S
HOUSTON
Public 0.8 1,615 -5.7%
HARPER DAEP
HOUSTON
Public 1.0 76
WASHINGTON B T H S
HOUSTON
Public 1.4 811 -4.5%
The Gateway Academy
Houston
Private 1.7 72 +38.5%
St Pius X High School
Houston
Private 1.8 534 -16.0%
HOUSTON HEIGHTS CHARTER SCHOOL
HOUSTON
Public · charter 2.0 192 +9.7%
HEIGHTS H S
HOUSTON
Public 2.2 2,426 -0.9%
SOAR CENTER
HOUSTON
Public 2.3 52 -24.6%

Is Lutheran High North winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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