SOAR CENTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 209 students:
≈ 5 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,316 per student in district revenue, the 5 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $66,580/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Gateway Academy Houston |
Private | 0.7 | 72 | +38.5% |
| Memorial Hall School Houston |
Private | 0.9 | 19 | — |
| WALTRIP H S HOUSTON |
Public | 1.7 | 1,615 | -5.7% |
| School Of The Woods Houston |
Private | 2.0 | 522 | +100.8% |
| SCARBOROUGH H S HOUSTON |
Public | 2.1 | 691 | -9.7% |
| Lutheran High North Houston |
Private | 2.3 | 102 | -29.2% |
| Duchesne Academy Of The Sacred Heart Houston |
Private | 2.5 | 659 | +3.3% |
| HOUSTON HEIGHTS CHARTER SCHOOL HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.9 | 192 | +9.7% |