Trinity Christian School
Private
K–12 / combined
Other religious
Lubbock, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 670 in 2018 to
627 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-6.4%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2022's 627 students:
2023
617
2025
597
2027
577
≈ 50 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 50 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $800,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY LUBBOCK LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 155 | +5.4% |
| PREMIER H S - LUBBOCK (BRIERCROFT) LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 1.1 | 140 | +141.4% |
| TEXASWORKS - LUBBOCK-BRIERCROFT LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 1.1 | 19 | — |
| Springboard Academics Lubbock |
Private | 1.2 | 110 | +25.0% |
| Sharp Academy Lubbock |
Private | 1.5 | 43 | — |
| MONTEREY H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 1.5 | 2,117 | +0.2% |
| Southcrest Christian School Lubbock |
Private | 1.7 | 390 | +2.6% |
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-LUBBOCK LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 1.8 | 133 | -25.3% |