TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-LUBBOCK
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -9.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 133 students:
≈ 51 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,741 per student in district revenue, the 51 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $598,791/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Springboard Academics Lubbock |
Private | 0.6 | 110 | +25.0% |
| PREMIER H S - LUBBOCK (BRIERCROFT) LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 0.8 | 140 | +141.4% |
| TEXASWORKS - LUBBOCK-BRIERCROFT LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 0.8 | 19 | — |
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY LUBBOCK LUBBOCK |
Public · charter | 0.9 | 155 | +5.4% |
| DUPRE ACADEMY H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 1.4 | 140 | +47.4% |
| HOMEBOUND LUBBOCK |
Public | 1.5 | 6 | — |
| LUBBOCK H S LUBBOCK |
Public | 1.5 | 1,927 | +2.9% |
| TEXAS TECH UNIVERSITY K-12 LUBBOCK |
Public | 1.6 | 425 | -0.7% |