Chisholm Trail Academy
Private
Other religious
Keene, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 165 in 2018 to
162 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-1.8%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2022's 162 students:
2023
161
2025
160
2027
158
≈ 4 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 4 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $64,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sycamore Academy Keene |
Private | 0.4 | 159 | +130.4% |
| KEENE H S KEENE |
Public | 0.9 | 373 | +12.0% |
| CLEARFORK ACADEMY SOUTH CLEBURNE |
Public · charter | 3.4 | 25 | — |
| TEAM SCH CLEBURNE |
Public | 4.5 | 65 | +25.0% |
| NEW HORIZON H S JOSHUA |
Public | 4.9 | 30 | — |
| JOSHUA H S JOSHUA |
Public | 5.2 | 1,313 | +9.1% |
| CLEBURNE H S CLEBURNE |
Public | 6.0 | 1,849 | -5.9% |
| Cleburne Christian Academy Cleburne |
Private | 6.1 | 95 | — |