NEW HORIZON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -10.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 30 students:
≈ 13 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,589 per student in district revenue, the 13 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $163,657/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOSHUA H S JOSHUA |
Public | 0.3 | 1,313 | +9.1% |
| Joshua Christian Academy Joshua |
Private | 2.3 | 145 | +31.8% |
| Sycamore Academy Keene |
Private | 4.6 | 159 | +130.4% |
| Chisholm Trail Academy Keene |
Private | 4.9 | 162 | -1.8% |
| KEENE H S KEENE |
Public | 5.4 | 373 | +12.0% |
| BURLESON H S BURLESON |
Public | 6.1 | 1,791 | +3.2% |
| CROSSROADS H S BURLESON |
Public | 6.7 | 84 | +6.3% |
| BURLESON COLLEGIATE H S BURLESON |
Public | 6.9 | 151 | -29.1% |