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Shiner Catholic School

Private K–12 / combined Catholic
Shiner, TX

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment went from 262 in 2018 to 246 in 2022 — over 4 years.
-6.1%

Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2022's 246 students:

2023
242
2025
235
2027
227

≈ 19 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At tuition per student, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $304,000/year in tuition at risk.

Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
SHINER H S
SHINER
Public 2.1 200 -2.0%
YOAKUM H S
YOAKUM
Public 9.2 477 +1.5%
MOULTON H S
MOULTON
Public 10.8 91 +5.8%
Sacred Heart Catholic School
Hallettsville
Private 13.6 248 +4.2%
HALLETTSVILLE H S
HALLETTSVILLE
Public 14.0 406 +4.4%
GONZALES H S
GONZALES
Public 17.8 751 -9.0%
FLATONIA SECONDARY
FLATONIA
Public 18.3 200 +0.5%
EZZELL SCHOOL
HALLETTSVILLE
Public 18.8 27

Is Shiner Catholic School winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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