ZAVALLA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 141 students:
≈ 9 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,737 per student in district revenue, the 9 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $168,633/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUNTINGTON H S HUNTINGTON |
Public | 11.6 | 485 | +1.3% |
| PRIDE ALTER SCH HUNTINGTON |
Public | 12.4 | 12 | — |
| BROADDUS H S SAN AUGUSTINE |
Public | 14.5 | 98 | -10.9% |
| COLMESNEIL JH/HS COLMESNEIL |
Public | 17.3 | 122 | -3.2% |
| CHESTER H S CHESTER |
Public | 19.0 | 80 | +6.7% |
| LUFKIN H S LUFKIN |
Public | 20.0 | 2,026 | -6.3% |
| DIBOLL H S DIBOLL |
Public | 20.7 | 480 | -7.9% |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 21.5 | 5 | — |