LUFKIN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,026 students:
≈ 209 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,330 per student in district revenue, the 209 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $2,994,970/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PINEYWOODS COMMUNITY ACADEMY H S LUFKIN |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 289 | +12.0% |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 3.9 | 5 | — |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 3.9 | 9 | — |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 3.9 | 9 | — |
| STUBBLEFIELD LRN CTR LUFKIN |
Public | 3.9 | 56 | — |
| PRIDE ALTER SCH HUNTINGTON |
Public | 7.7 | 12 | — |
| HUDSON H S LUFKIN |
Public | 8.4 | 783 | -3.9% |
| HUNTINGTON H S HUNTINGTON |
Public | 8.4 | 485 | +1.3% |