THRIVE ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -13.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 113 students:
≈ 59 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,369 per student in district revenue, the 59 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $788,771/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CESAR CHAVEZ ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 1.1 | 49 | — |
| CESAR CHAVEZ ACADEMY JJAEP EL PASO |
Public | 1.1 | 2 | — |
| YSLETA H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.4 | 1,168 | -21.1% |
| RIVERSIDE H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.6 | 952 | -10.5% |
| YOUNG WOMEN'S LEADERSHIP ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 1.8 | 104 | -33.8% |
| BEL AIR H S EL PASO |
Public | 2.4 | 1,866 | -2.0% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-EL PASO EASTPOINTE EL PASO |
Public · charter | 2.4 | 125 | +0.8% |
| EL PASO CLASSICAL ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public · charter | 2.6 | 70 | +11.1% |