BEL AIR H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,866 students:
≈ 62 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,369 per student in district revenue, the 62 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $828,878/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YOUNG WOMEN'S LEADERSHIP ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 1.0 | 104 | -33.8% |
| EL PASO ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public · charter | 1.0 | 206 | +52.6% |
| VALLE VERDE EARLY COLLEGE H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.2 | 273 | -27.8% |
| PREMIER HIGH SCHOOL-EL PASO EASTPOINTE EL PASO |
Public · charter | 1.3 | 125 | +0.8% |
| CESAR CHAVEZ ACADEMY EL PASO |
Public | 1.7 | 49 | — |
| CESAR CHAVEZ ACADEMY JJAEP EL PASO |
Public | 1.7 | 2 | — |
| EASTWOOD H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.8 | 2,295 | -4.3% |
| RIVERSIDE H S EL PASO |
Public | 1.8 | 952 | -10.5% |