WHARTON H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 566 students:
≈ 72 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,389 per student in district revenue, the 72 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $964,008/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faith Christian Academy Wharton |
Private | 4.1 | 35 | — |
| BOLING H S BOLING |
Public | 9.8 | 328 | -4.4% |
| EAST BERNARD H S EAST BERNARD |
Public | 13.6 | 302 | -1.9% |
| EL CAMPO H S EL CAMPO |
Public | 14.8 | 1,002 | -10.5% |
| NEEDVILLE H S NEEDVILLE |
Public | 17.4 | 1,111 | +5.9% |
| BRAZOS H S WALLIS |
Public | 20.2 | 317 | +18.3% |
| RICE CHALLENGE ACADEMY EAGLE LAKE |
Public | 22.2 | 114 | +67.6% |
| DR THOMAS E RANDLE H S RICHMOND |
Public | 23.1 | 1,966 | +158.7% |