EAST BERNARD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 302 students:
≈ 10 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,118 per student in district revenue, the 10 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $141,180/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRAZOS H S WALLIS |
Public | 6.7 | 317 | +18.3% |
| WHARTON H S WHARTON |
Public | 13.6 | 566 | -7.8% |
| Faith Christian Academy Wharton |
Private | 15.1 | 35 | — |
| RICE CHALLENGE ACADEMY EAGLE LAKE |
Public | 15.7 | 114 | +67.6% |
| FULSHEAR H S FULSHEAR |
Public | 16.0 | 3,401 | +60.1% |
| FOSTER H S RICHMOND |
Public | 16.9 | 2,747 | +25.3% |
| LAMAR CONS H S ROSENBERG |
Public | 17.4 | 1,714 | -3.2% |
| SEALY H S SEALY |
Public | 17.5 | 1,002 | +19.4% |