WALNUT SPRINGS SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 165 students:
≈ 20 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,565 per student in district revenue, the 20 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $331,300/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IREDELL SCHOOL IREDELL |
Public | 8.2 | 43 | — |
| MORGAN SCHOOL MORGAN |
Public | 8.9 | 35 | — |
| MERIDIAN H S MERIDIAN |
Public | 9.3 | 129 | +29.0% |
| GLEN ROSE H S GLEN ROSE |
Public | 12.4 | 643 | +9.4% |
| KOPPERL SCHOOL KOPPERL |
Public | 14.8 | 53 | -1.9% |
| BRAZOS RIVER CHARTER SCHOOL NEMO |
Public · charter | 15.6 | 61 | -53.4% |
| HICO H S HICO |
Public | 16.4 | 187 | +24.7% |
| North Central Texas Academy Granbury |
Private | 16.8 | 106 | -43.3% |