BRAZOS RIVER CHARTER SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -30.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 61 students:
≈ 51 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,758 per student in district revenue, the 51 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $752,658/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Central Texas Academy Granbury |
Private | 5.1 | 106 | -43.3% |
| GLEN ROSE H S GLEN ROSE |
Public | 7.1 | 643 | +9.4% |
| PREMIER H S OF GRANBURY GRANBURY |
Public · charter | 14.0 | 153 | -4.4% |
| TEXASWORKS - GRANBURY GRANBURY |
Public · charter | 14.0 | 6 | — |
| CLEBURNE H S CLEBURNE |
Public | 14.4 | 1,849 | -5.9% |
| GODLEY H S GODLEY |
Public | 14.8 | 868 | +26.5% |
| Cleburne Christian Academy Cleburne |
Private | 15.0 | 95 | — |
| STARS ACCELERATED H S GRANBURY |
Public | 15.3 | 44 | — |