TEXHOMA EL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 142 students:
≈ 41 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,130 per student in district revenue, the 41 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $456,330/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRATFORD H S STRATFORD |
Public | 19.3 | 160 | -9.1% |
| GRUVER H S GRUVER |
Public | 26.8 | 141 | -11.3% |
| SUNRAY H S SUNRAY |
Public | 33.3 | 205 | +32.3% |
| PRINGLE-MORSE SCHOOLS MORSE |
Public | 34.5 | 30 | — |
| SPEARMAN H S SPEARMAN |
Public | 39.6 | 189 | -26.2% |
| NORTH PLAINS OPPORTUNITY CENTER DUMAS |
Public | 43.1 | 35 | — |
| DUMAS H S DUMAS |
Public | 44.9 | 1,192 | +3.7% |
| WEST TEXAS SECONDARY SCHOOL STINNETT |
Public | 49.9 | 170 | -4.5% |