STRATFORD H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 160 students:
≈ 24 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,285 per student in district revenue, the 24 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $414,840/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEXHOMA EL TEXHOMA |
Public | 19.3 | 25 | — |
| SUNRAY H S SUNRAY |
Public | 26.7 | 205 | +32.3% |
| DALHART H S DALHART |
Public | 31.1 | 481 | +4.8% |
| NORTH PLAINS OPPORTUNITY CENTER DUMAS |
Public | 32.0 | 35 | — |
| DUMAS H S DUMAS |
Public | 33.5 | 1,192 | +3.7% |
| HARTLEY SCHOOL HARTLEY |
Public | 36.6 | 69 | +11.3% |
| GRUVER H S GRUVER |
Public | 38.0 | 141 | -11.3% |
| PRINGLE-MORSE SCHOOLS MORSE |
Public | 38.5 | 30 | — |