TISD CHILD & ADOLESCENT SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -10.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 21 students:
≈ 9 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,677 per student in district revenue, the 9 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $132,093/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TERRELL H S TERRELL |
Public | 1.8 | 1,458 | +4.1% |
| Poetry Community Christian School Terrell |
Private | 5.8 | 236 | -3.3% |
| NORTH FORNEY H S FORNEY |
Public | 8.5 | 2,648 | +15.6% |
| FORNEY LEARNING ACADEMY FORNEY |
Public | 9.6 | 104 | -17.5% |
| Kaufman Christian School Kaufman |
Private | 10.6 | 89 | +8.5% |
| FORNEY H S FORNEY |
Public | 11.3 | 2,582 | +28.6% |
| KAUFMAN H S KAUFMAN |
Public | 12.4 | 1,294 | +6.9% |
| GARY W CAMPBELL H S KAUFMAN |
Public | 12.5 | 13 | — |