FORNEY LEARNING ACADEMY
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -17.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 104 students:
≈ 64 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,631 per student in district revenue, the 64 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $744,384/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORNEY H S FORNEY |
Public | 2.4 | 2,582 | +28.6% |
| NORTH FORNEY H S FORNEY |
Public | 4.4 | 2,648 | +15.6% |
| BASEPOINT ACADEMY - FORNEY FORNEY |
Public · charter | 5.2 | 10 | — |
| CRANDALL H S CRANDALL |
Public | 6.5 | 1,999 | +30.7% |
| HORN H S MESQUITE |
Public | 8.1 | 2,757 | -11.1% |
| VROONLAND - VANGUARD H S MESQUITE |
Public | 9.2 | 1,605 | +103.9% |
| TERRELL H S TERRELL |
Public | 9.2 | 1,458 | +4.1% |
| SEAGOVILLE H S DALLAS |
Public | 9.6 | 1,786 | +3.7% |