SANDERSON SCHOOLS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 114 students:
≈ 26 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $32,917 per student in district revenue, the 26 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $855,842/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARATHON INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DIST MARATHON |
Public | 50.9 | 20 | — |
| BUTZ PREPARATORY ACADEMY FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 58.8 | 2,039 | — |
| FORT STOCKTON HIGH FORT STOCKTON |
Public | 60.3 | 699 | +0.4% |
| IRAAN H S IRAAN |
Public | 60.6 | 112 | +31.8% |
| MCCAMEY H S MCCAMEY |
Public | 68.8 | 144 | +0.0% |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 77.1 | 48 | — |
| Alpine Christian School Alpine |
Private | 77.3 | 48 | — |
| ALPINE H S ALPINE |
Public | 77.5 | 286 | -8.9% |