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TARKINGTON H S

Public
CLEVELAND, TX · TARKINGTON ISD · 49.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 107 in 2021 to 136 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+27.1%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 544 students:

2025
553
2027
571
2029
590

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $12,723 per student in district revenue, the 46 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $585,258/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CLEVELAND H S
CLEVELAND
Public 6.5 3,627 +29.4%
FREDERICK A DOUGLASS LEARNING ACADEMY
CLEVELAND
Public 6.6 129
SHEPHERD H S
SHEPHERD
Public 11.9 616 +16.0%
SPLENDORA H S
SPLENDORA
Public 14.7 1,647 +31.1%
HARDIN H S
HARDIN
Public 17.5 396 +9.7%
DAYTON H S
DAYTON
Public 17.6 1,674 +5.9%
THE LEARNING CTR
NEW CANEY
Public 18.8 65
PREMIER H S OF DAYTON
DAYTON
Public · charter 19.0 112 +57.7%

Is TARKINGTON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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