SHEPHERD H S
Public
SHEPHERD, TX · SHEPHERD ISD · 74.4% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 93 in 2021 to
124 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+33.3%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +5.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 616 students:
2025
647
2027
715
2029
789
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $14,309 per student in district revenue, the 173 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $2,475,457/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOODRICH H S GOODRICH |
Public | 9.1 | 67 | -2.9% |
| COLDSPRING-OAKHURST H S COLDSPRING |
Public | 10.3 | 492 | +0.0% |
| CLEVELAND H S CLEVELAND |
Public | 10.8 | 3,627 | +29.4% |
| FREDERICK A DOUGLASS LEARNING ACADEMY CLEVELAND |
Public | 11.5 | 129 | — |
| TARKINGTON H S CLEVELAND |
Public | 11.9 | 544 | +5.0% |
| LIVINGSTON H S LIVINGSTON |
Public | 16.4 | 1,147 | +1.5% |
| LIVINGSTON H S ACADEMY LIVINGSTON |
Public | 16.4 | 13 | — |
| Eastside Christian School Livingston |
Private | 17.6 | 36 | — |