CAST STEM H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -9.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 173 students:
≈ 69 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,064 per student in district revenue, the 69 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $970,416/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRANK L MADLA EARLY COLLEGE H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 0.3 | 150 | +0.7% |
| IDEA EWING HALSELL COLLEGE PREPARATORY SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 1.4 | 231 | +34.3% |
| SOUTH SAN ANTONIO H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 1.8 | 2,190 | +4.1% |
| MCCOLLUM H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 2.3 | 1,502 | +0.4% |
| FRANK M TEJEDA ACADEMY SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 3.1 | 144 | -8.3% |
| HAC DAEP H S SAN ANTONIO |
Public | 3.1 | 35 | — |
| SOUTHWEST LEGACY H S VON ORMY |
Public | 3.3 | 2,250 | +15.5% |
| TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - SAN ANTONIO SAN ANTONIO |
Public · charter | 3.7 | 72 | -76.6% |