SMITHVILLE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 543 students:
≈ 42 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,779 per student in district revenue, the 42 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $620,718/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BASTROP H S BASTROP |
Public | 12.0 | 1,767 | +13.1% |
| COLORADO RIVER COLLEGIATE ACADEMY BASTROP |
Public | 12.2 | 190 | -21.2% |
| GENESIS H S BASTROP |
Public | 12.2 | 185 | +43.4% |
| Faith Lutheran High School Of Central Texas Warda |
Private | 15.2 | 17 | — |
| LA GRANGE H S LA GRANGE |
Public | 19.2 | 600 | +2.0% |
| GIDDINGS H S GIDDINGS |
Public | 19.9 | 648 | +0.8% |
| LONE STAR H S SOUTHEAST (TJJD) GIDDINGS |
Public | 19.9 | 127 | +12.4% |
| MCDADE H S MCDADE |
Public | 20.2 | 111 | +54.2% |