SAN MARCOS H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,371 students:
≈ 134 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,291 per student in district revenue, the 134 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,914,994/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAYS INSPIRE ACADEMY SAN MARCOS |
Public · charter | 0.7 | 22 | — |
| KI CHARTER ACADEMY SAN MARCOS |
Public · charter | 5.4 | 73 | -1.4% |
| San Marcos Baptist Academy San Marcos |
Private | 6.1 | 296 | +14.7% |
| Southwest Texas High School San Marcos |
Private | 6.2 | 101 | — |
| CANYON H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 11.4 | 2,414 | +3.2% |
| NAVARRO H S SEGUIN |
Public | 11.6 | 703 | +11.6% |
| MEMORIAL EARLY COLLEGE H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 11.8 | 291 | -19.2% |
| COMAL ACADEMY NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 11.8 | 76 | +52.0% |