MEMORIAL EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 291 students:
≈ 87 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,614 per student in district revenue, the 87 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,097,418/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COMAL ACADEMY NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 0.1 | 76 | +52.0% |
| COMAL DISCIPLINE CENTER NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 0.1 | 38 | — |
| CANYON H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 0.4 | 2,414 | +3.2% |
| INNOVA MERCY INSPIRE ACADEMY NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public · charter | 1.3 | — | — |
| PREMIER H S OF NEW BRAUNFELS NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public · charter | 2.1 | 72 | -30.8% |
| Grace Preparatory Academy Of New Braunfels New Braunfels |
Private | 2.8 | 162 | -12.0% |
| NEW BRAUNFELS H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 3.4 | 1,990 | +2.1% |
| TWO RIVERS H S NEW BRAUNFELS |
Public | 5.0 | 82 | -3.5% |