ROBY CISD
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 297 students:
≈ 48 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,025 per student in district revenue, the 48 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,009,200/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROTAN K-12 ROTAN |
Public | 9.1 | 69 | +9.5% |
| HAMLIN COLLEGIATE H S HAMLIN |
Public · charter | 17.1 | 133 | +13.7% |
| SWEETWATER H S SWEETWATER |
Public | 18.2 | 553 | -5.8% |
| TRENT INDEPENDENT SCHOOL DISTRICT TRENT |
Public | 22.3 | 32 | — |
| ROSCOE COLLEGIATE H S ROSCOE |
Public · charter | 23.1 | 202 | +13.5% |
| HERMLEIGH SCHOOL HERMLEIGH |
Public | 23.1 | 76 | +5.6% |
| ANSON H S ANSON |
Public | 28.1 | 200 | -2.9% |
| MERKEL H S MERKEL |
Public | 28.1 | 281 | -14.1% |