NORTH HEIGHTS ALTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 137 students:
≈ 11 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,070 per student in district revenue, the 11 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $132,770/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PALO DURO H S AMARILLO |
Public | 1.4 | 1,949 | +2.8% |
| San Jacinto Christian Academy Amarillo |
Private | 1.6 | 270 | -23.1% |
| AMTECH CAREER ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public | 2.3 | 22 | — |
| TASCOSA H S AMARILLO |
Public | 2.7 | 2,176 | -0.4% |
| PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 3.4 | 250 | -6.7% |
| Holy Cross Catholic Academy Amarillo |
Private | 3.6 | 114 | +20.0% |
| CAPROCK H S AMARILLO |
Public | 3.8 | 2,058 | -2.5% |
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 5.0 | 133 | -26.9% |