SOUTH TEXAS ISD MEDICAL PROFESSIONS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 820 students:
≈ 68 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $18,619 per student in district revenue, the 68 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,266,092/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDEA SPORTS PARK COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 4.2 | 211 | -4.1% |
| LOS FRESNOS H S LOS FRESNOS |
Public | 5.5 | 3,285 | +2.8% |
| JUBILEE BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 5.9 | 357 | +4.7% |
| VETERANS MEMORIAL EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 6.2 | 2,216 | +9.9% |
| IDEA BROWNSVILLE COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 7.1 | 383 | +10.1% |
| POSITIVE REDIRECTION CTR SAN BENITO |
Public | 7.1 | — | — |
| PACE EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 8.2 | 1,621 | -16.4% |
| HARMONY SCHOOL OF INNOVATION - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 8.2 | 308 | -10.5% |