PACE EARLY COLLEGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,621 students:
≈ 418 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $13,935 per student in district revenue, the 418 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $5,824,830/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIUMPH PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOLS-BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 1.1 | 122 | +9.9% |
| St Joseph Academy Brownsville |
Private | 1.9 | 401 | -9.1% |
| First Baptist School Brownsville |
Private | 2.0 | 187 | -22.1% |
| PREMIER H S OF BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.2 | 147 | +12.2% |
| TEXASWORKS - BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 2.2 | 16 | — |
| HANNA EARLY COLLEGE H S BROWNSVILLE |
Public | 2.8 | 2,039 | -12.7% |
| IDEA RIVERVIEW COLLEGE PREPARATORY BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 3.0 | 416 | -5.9% |
| JUBILEE BROWNSVILLE BROWNSVILLE |
Public · charter | 3.1 | 357 | +4.7% |